miércoles, 26 de junio de 2013

Transformación social


De todas las opiniones que he leído sobre las protestas que están teniendo lugar de manera encadenada en países como Túnez, Chile, Turquía y Brasil, me ha llamado la atención la visión del ‘observador global’ Moisés Naím. La explicación que ofrece este analista internacional se basa en la tesis del politólogo estadounidense, Samuel Huntington, que afirma que en las sociedades que experimentan transformaciones rápidas (y pueda que sea este uno de los únicos elementos comunes entre estos diferentes países), la demanda de servicios públicos crece a mayor velocidad que la capacidad de los Gobiernos para satisfacerla. Este desfase o brecha es la causante de que la gente salga a la calle a protestar contra el Gobierno y en favor de medidas más justas para la mayoría de la población. Que la brecha se reduzca no parece tener otra solución más que tiempo. Sin embargo, Naím, ante esa ‘insalvable brecha’, concluye que las turbulencias políticas pueden hacer también que la brecha se transforme en una fuerza positiva que impulse el progreso. 

El Orden Público en las Sociedades en Cambio, 1968 S. Huntington

viernes, 26 de abril de 2013

« We have moved from an era that had faith in the idea of international institutions to one that has lost it » Mazower



History revealed the beginning of a new era when the formal willing of a peaceful community of nations materialized after the end of the First World War. The Paris Peace Conference convened to build a lasting peace and approved the proposal to create the League of Nations whose main mission was to maintain world peace. Woodrow Wilson Fourteen Points became the basis for the peace program, although the concept of a peaceful community had already been proposed by Immanuel Kant’s “Perpetual Peace: A Philosophical Sketch” in 1795, where he outlined the idea of a league of nations to control conflict and promote peace between states. Unfortunately, the onset of the Second War World demonstrated a complete failure in its primary purpose. However, the diplomatic philosophy behind it represented already an essential shift from the preceding years.

In the aftermath of the Second World War, the prospect of a functional international institution, as an improved version of the League, was enormously popular. The major powers were determined not to repeat past mistakes; hence, they came together to set up a net of international institutions to promote peace, prosperity, and development.

Internationalism actually came about largely in response to a concert at that time. Apart from the formal powers, also thinkers and individuals agitated for a more just and nonviolent world. The Zeitgeist characterized by willingness and desires to put aside self-interests and meet common duties and obligations. The idea of forming an international community that could interpret and generalize universal norms of behavior was not only rebooted, but also the faith in it flourished and, as a logic result, we saw in the years after the war a creation of numerous international organizations.

A general consequence of the war was the formation of the UN, officially founded in October 1945 as a successor organization to the League of Nations. The United Nations was committed to maintain international peace and security, developing friendly relations among nations and promoting social progress, better living standards, and human rights.
A year before, 1944, the United Nations Monetary and Financial Conference, formalized in the Bretton Woods Agreement, established a system of rules, institutions and procedures to regulate the international monetary system through a series of currency stabilization programs and infrastructure loans. The creation of the International Monetary Fund and the World Bank set the institutional basis to promote a neo-liberal, free trade global economic system.

The General Agreement on Tariff and Trade (World Trade Organization afterwards) was also erected at the time to reduce the international trade barriers and promote free trade and scrap protectionist measures.

However, over the time, none of these organizations saved from the critics. Despite the UN mandate to maintain global peace and security, the organization received critics for several gross failures, such as the Rwandan genocide in 1994. On the other hand, there was the UN Security Council and its particular system of voting that enables the five permanent members to prevent the adoption of any “substantive” draft Council resolution, regardless of the level of international support.

As far as the IMF, WB and WTO are concerned, heavy criticism, coming particularly from members of the development community, highlighted the demanding economic policy changes that, in many cases, increased the poverty and the un-payable debt burden of the “beneficiary” developing countries. Although their main goal was rebuilding European countries, during the 60s as many African countries gained independence, they applied for membership of the IMF and the WB. This way these institutions began to focus more on these newly formed countries and the developing world. Similarly to the UN, critics have also pointed at the inequality in their voting and decision making system; again the USA and the European countries hold the majority of the voting rights, being accused of protecting their own interests at the expense of the welfare of other countries.
The general critic about how the League of Nations and the UN ended up being mere tools of the great powers, whose evidence is, for instance, in the League letting Italy invade Ethiopia and Albania, and made no protest when Hitler annexed Austria, or the UN acting in Korea only because Soviets boycotted at the Security Council, explains Mazower’s assumption of the era shift.

We also cannot forget that the Cold War ended with the establishment of the US as the “sole superpower”, and the embrace by most people in the world of American values with respect to democracy, human rights and economics. At this position, US were not so keen to share its power in favor of a more multilateral world. The collapse of the Soviet Union had left a general uncertainty motivating the raise of numerous articles and books; some of the most influential were “Jihad vs. McWorld” (B. Barber, 1996), “The End of History and the Last Man” (F. Fukuyama, 1992), and “The Clash of Civilization” (S. Huntington, article -1993, book -1996) that received most attention. Huntington believed that while the age of ideology had ended, the world had only reverted to a normal state of affairs characterized by cultural conflict, arguing that the primary axis of conflict in the future were going to be along cultural and religious lines.

Moreover, the September 11 terrorist bombings marked, for many, a watershed in International Relations, and the end of a US unipolar moment, where the emerging countries were/are also playing a key role in a world that is rather shaping into multipolarity. Following 9/11, other All-Qaeda attempts (Bali, Madrid, London…) reinforced Huntington´s thesis and a new demand on the Constructivist trend in International Relations theory. Today, we live in a world of intensive interconnectedness, and the post-World War stage has yielded to a very different one. Scholars have become increasingly interested in norms of behavior, culture, identity and other social features of political life. Where International Relations theory had for decades been dominated by Realist theories (which highlighted material power) and Liberal theories (which emphasized institutions, domestic political systems and rational exchange) the new challenge, posed by terrorist attacks and globalization, aims at the importance of religious faith, non-state actors, and anti-Americanism sentiments where the past faith on the idea of international institutions has little space, and uncertainty finds a better breeding ground elsewhere.
I.